Sim #2626 of 10,000 · the outcome closest to the 10k medians (winner, method, finish round, both strike totals) · this run: Sean Brady by DEC · UFC Fight Night · Saturday, November 7, 2026 · Meta APEX · Las Vegas, NV
Gabriel Bonfim
20-1-0 · SIM 42.4%
CONDITION
0:00
ROUND 1 OF 5
DISTANCE
Sean Brady
19-2-0 · SIM 54.5%
CONDITION
LIVE SIM WIN PROB
Gabriel Bonfim
20-1-0 · 10K-SIM WIN 42.4%
SIG STRIKES0
HEAD0BODY0LEG0
TAKEDOWNS0
CONTROL0:00
KNOCKDOWNS0
SUB ATTEMPTS0
DAMAGE DEALT0
BONFIM
BRADY
Sean Brady
19-2-0 · 10K-SIM WIN 54.5%
SIG STRIKES0
HEAD0BODY0LEG0
TAKEDOWNS0
CONTROL0:00
KNOCKDOWNS0
SUB ATTEMPTS0
DAMAGE DEALT0
SIM
BONFIM vs BRADY
Press play — the most typical Bonfim vs Brady fight from 10,000 simulations, played out exchange by exchange.
SIM
Round by Round
The picked sim's own round lines (UFCStats-style) — each row locks in as the round ends.
BONFIM SIG
KD
TD
CTRL
BRADY SIG
KD
TD
CTRL
R1
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R2
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R3
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R4
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R5
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Final Stat Lines
Fighter
Sig strikes (landed / thrown)
KD
TD (landed / att)
Control
Sub att
Prototype sim — not backtested. This is one representative fight drawn from the same 10,000-sim prototype behind the fight-page panel: minute-stepped Monte Carlo on UFCStats rates, calibrated only to welterweight finish rates, never tuned to the market. It does not yet adjust for strength of schedule, reach. Not a betting recommendation.