PROPEDIA UFC
UFC Fight Night — Gabriel Bonfim vs Sean Brady
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · Meta APEX · Las Vegas, NV · 13 fights · Main card 8:00 PM ET on Paramount+ · Moneylines: BestFightOdds
MAIN CARD · 8:00 PM ET
Gabriel Bonfim
GabrielBonfim20-1-0Lines coming soon
WELTERWEIGHTMAIN EVENT5 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
SeanBrady19-2-0Lines coming soon
Sean Brady
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Brady 54.5% · DEC 35.7% · Dist 54.7%Full fight sim ↓ · ▶ Watch it play out
Tatiana Suarez
TatianaSuarez13-1-0Lines coming soon
WOMEN'S STRAWWEIGHTCO-MAIN EVENT3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
VirnaJandiroba23-4-0Lines coming soon
Virna Jandiroba
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Suarez 66.5% · DEC 57.8% · Dist 78.6%Full fight sim ↓
Billy Elekana
BillyElekana10-2-0Lines coming soon
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHTMAIN CARD3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
LucasFernando14-3-0Lines coming soon
Lucas Fernando
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Fernando 63.6% · DEC 39.2% · Dist 56.7%Full fight sim ↓
Mantas Kondratavičius
MantasKondratavičius9-1-0Lines coming soon
MIDDLEWEIGHTMAIN CARD3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
WesSchultz9-4-0Lines coming soon
Wes Schultz
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Kondratavičius 69.8% · KO 29.7% · Dist 27.1%Full fight sim ↓
Austin Bashi
AustinBashi14-2-0Lines coming soon
FEATHERWEIGHTMAIN CARD3 rounds · 8:00 PM ET
LucasBrennan11-3-0Lines coming soon
Lucas Brennan
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Bashi 70.4% · DEC 45.3% · Dist 64.6%Full fight sim ↓
PRELIMS · 5:00 PM ET
Davey Grant
DaveyGrant18-8-0Lines coming soon
BANTAMWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
ElijahSmith10-1-0Lines coming soon
Elijah Smith
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Smith 62.1% · DEC 37.9% · Dist 68.4%Full fight sim ↓
Seokhyeon Ko
SeokhyeonKo13-3-0Lines coming soon
WELTERWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
WellingtonTurman18-8-0Lines coming soon
Wellington Turman
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Ko 74.4% · DEC 66.2% · Dist 81.0%Full fight sim ↓
Gabriel Lorenço
GabrielLorenço8-1-0Lines coming soon
HEAVYWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
AlvinHines7-2-0Lines coming soon
Alvin Hines
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Lorenço 89.8% · KO 56.9% · Dist 27.5%Full fight sim ↓
Karine Silva
KarineSilva19-7-0Lines coming soon
WOMEN'S FLYWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
GabriellaFernandes11-4-0Lines coming soon
Gabriella Fernandes
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Silva 62.4% · DEC 37.1% · Dist 64.9%Full fight sim ↓
Jose Delano
JoseDelano17-3-0Lines coming soon
FEATHERWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
MurtazaliMagomedov11-0-0Lines coming soon
Murtazali Magomedov
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Magomedov 74.3% · SUB 34.2% · Dist 42.7%Full fight sim ↓
Keiichiro Nakamura
KeiichiroNakamura8-1-0Lines coming soon
FEATHERWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
OllieSchmid4-3-0Lines coming soon
Ollie Schmid
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Nakamura 86.0% · DEC 51.3% · Dist 56.6%Full fight sim ↓
Priscila Cachoeira
PriscilaCachoeira13-9-0Lines coming soon
WOMEN'S BANTAMWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
NinaMilošević9-1-0Lines coming soon
Nina Milošević
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Milošević 90.8% · DEC 46.2% · Dist 48.1%Full fight sim ↓
Jonny Parsons
JonnyParsons9-3-0Lines coming soon
WELTERWEIGHTPRELIMS3 rounds · 5:00 PM ET
JoseHenrique9-1-0Lines coming soon
Jose Henrique
FIGHT SIMSim (10k): Parsons 50.1% · DEC 35.2% · Dist 70.3%Full fight sim ↓

Model Edges

Model v0 (stat-differential logistic, sample-shrunk) vs the no-vig market where a line is posted; model leans where it is not. Not backtested.
Murtazali Magomedov over Jose DelanoNO LINE YET
Model80.0%
Fight sim74.3%
Fair line-399
MarketLines coming soon
Austin Bashi over Lucas BrennanNO LINE YET
Model79.3%
Fight sim70.4%
Fair line-383
MarketLines coming soon
Nina Milošević over Priscila CachoeiraNO LINE YET
Model76.4%
Fight sim90.8%
Fair line-323
MarketLines coming soon

Line Movement & Sharp Money

Open vs current line movement and betting splits, per fight.
COMING SOONMovement tracking starts with the first posted lines — most of this card opens closer to fight week.

News Must-Check

Filled fight week from MMA Fighting / MMA Junkie weigh-in coverage and UFC.com card changes.
CHECKSTATUSSOURCE
Weigh-insFri Nov 6 — results land here fight week; a miss moves lines and the model noteMMA Fighting / MMA Junkie
Layoff checkBonfim last fought at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim (154 days out); Brady at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland (182 days out)ESPN fighter histories
Card status13 fights as of Oct 26, 2026 — late replacements re-run the model, sims and faces automaticallyESPN card / UFC.com

Sources: ESPN (card, records, headshots) · UFCStats.com (career rates, bout history, round-by-round detail) · BestFightOdds (moneylines; fights without a posted line show “Lines coming soon”). Model and sim outputs are research tools, not betting advice.